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Industrija
2014, vol. 42, br. 3, str. 23-39
jezik rada: engleski
vrsta rada: izvorni naučni članak
objavljeno: 12/12/2014
doi: 10.5937/industrija42-6944
Tranzicione privrede tokom svetske ekonomske krize - pristup razlike u razlikama
Filipović Sanja, Miljković Marko
Ekonomski institut, Beograd

e-adresa: sanja.filipovic@ecinst.org.rs

Projekat

Mogućnosti poboljšanja intelektualnih, motoričkih i kardio-respiratornih sposobnosti dece pomoću kinezioloških aktivnosti (MPNTR - 179011)
Evropske integracije i društveno-ekonomske promene privrede Srbije na putu ka EU (MPNTR - 47009)

Sažetak

Ovaj rad analizira uticaj globalne ekonomske krize na zemlje u tranziciji koje su posmatrano po padu GDP bile najviše pogođene uticajem globalne ekonomske krize. Stoga je stopa rasta za region pala sa 8,4% u 2007.godini na -3,9% u 2009.godini. Cilj rada je da utvrdi koje su zemlje u zavisnosti od nivoa napretka u sprovođenju tranzicionih reformi (merenog tranzicionim indikatorom) bile više izložene efektima globalne ekonomske krize, odnosno koje su zemlje u petogodišnjem periodu 2009-2013. godine brže ostvarile napredak mereno stopom ekonomskog rasta. Istraživanje se bazira na pristupu razlike u razlikama i obuhvatilo je 29 zemalja u tranziciji. Rezultati pokazuju je da privrede koje su manje napredovale na putu tranzicionih reformi (tranzicioni indikator manji od 3) su imale manji udar krize u prvom naletu 2009. godine. Pored toga, ova podgrupa zemalja u tranziciji je bolje prevazišla krizu u petogodišnjem periodu 2009-2013 obzirom da su za 18 procentnih poena imale veću kumulativnu stopu rasta u tih pet godina nego zemlje u tranziciji koje su uvele sve principe tržišne privrede.

Ključne reči

zemlje u tranziciji; ekonomska kriza; ekonomski rast; tranzicioni indikator; strukturne reforme

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