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Industrija
2018, vol. 46, br. 3, str. 133-143
jezik rada: engleski
vrsta rada: izvorni naučni članak
objavljeno: 22/11/2018
doi: 10.5937/industrija46-18540
Creative Commons License 4.0
Determinante ekonomskog rasta u pre-kriznom periodu
aUniverzitet Privredna akademija u Novom Sadu, Fakultet za ekonomiju i inženjerski menadžment - FIMEK
bNational Bank of Serbia + Faculty of Business Economics and Entrepreneurship, Belgrade
cEkonomski institut, Beograd

e-adresa: vladimir.ristanovic@vspep.edu.rs

Projekat

Organizacione i informacione podrške sistemu upravljanja kvalitetom kao ključnim faktorom povećanja konkurentnosti naših preduzeća i njihiovog bržeg izlaska na svetsko i EU tržište (MPNTR - 179001)

Sažetak

U ovom radu analizirane su determinante ekonomskog rasta nakon Drugog svetskog rata do ekonomske krize (1953-2007). U analizi je korišćen dinamički opšti metoda momenta (GMM) panel za određivanje efekata realnih i monetarnih determinanti. Rezultati dobijeni od panela 61 zemlje ukazuju na to da se ekonomski rast razlikuje između perioda, kao i da zavisi od nivoa ekonomskog razvoja. Realne determinante rasta BDP-a (realni nivo BDP po glavi stanovnika, privatna potrošnja, investicije, državna potrošnja, izvoz i uvoz) utiču na ekonomski rast u svim zemljama, dok monetarne determinante (inflacija, kamatna stopa i strane direktne investicije) imaju važniju ulogu u razvijenim zemljama.

Ključne reči

ekonomski rast; determinante rasta; GMM model

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