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2019, vol. 67, br. 1-2, str. 1-15
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Tri stvari koje su potrebne ekonomiji u eri četvrte industrijske revolucije
Three things an economy needs in the era of the fourth industrial revolution
Univerzitet u Beogradu, Ekonomski fakultet, Katedra za poslovnu ekonomiju i menadžment
Sažetak
Posle uspešnog završetka programa fiskalne konsolidacije, koji novi izazovi očekuju Srbiju na polju ekonomske politike? U narednom periodu, pored održivosti fiskalne stabilnosti, ključni izazov je sprovođenje novog modela ekonomskog rasta. Bez odgovarajućeg rasta, strukturna inflacija bi lako mogla da se vrati. Takodje, nov model rasta bi trebalo da ispuni uslove održivosti i inkluzivnosti. Pre nego što definišemo novi model rasta, želimo da shvatimo uzroke ranjivosti i izloženosti riziku, kao i šta to podupire nedavni zaokret u ekonomskoj i razvojnoj paradigmi. Takođe, nameravamo da pronađemo odgovore na sledeća povezana pitanja. Da li smo spremni da prihvatimo nove normalnosti u definisanju novog skupa ekonomskih politika zasnovanih na heterodoksnom pristupu? Da li smo ostvarili napredak u kreiranju modela ekonomskog rasta koji vodi računa o ekologiji i koji Srbiji može da obezbedi konvergenciju sa EU u pogledu nivoa dohotka? Na koji način bi novi skup politika uticao na dugoročni rast BDP-a i blagostanje? Namera je da pružimo novi model rasta (i povezane ekonomske politike) koji bi postao istinska snaga za bolju Srbiju sposobnu da prevaziđe uporne ekonomske neravnoteže i pogrešne koncepcije i da postavi temelje za održivu i inkluzivnu ekonomiju, kako u odnosu na ljude tako i u odnosu na prirodu.
Abstract
After the fiscal consolidation is successfully over, what new policy challenges await Serbia? In the following period, beside sustainability of fiscal balance, the core challenge is going to be the implementation of the new model of economic growth. Without adequate growth, structural inflation could easily return. A new model should provide sustainability and inclusivity proposals. Before we define the new growth model, we yearn to understand the causes of vulnerability and risk exposure, as well as what underpins the recent shift in the economic and development paradigm. Also, we intend to find answers to related questions as follows. Are we ready to embrace new normal in defining economic rules based on a heterodox approach? Have we made progress in creating an environmentally friendly model of economic growth that can ensure Serbia's convergence to the EU income levels? How would a new set of policy choices impact the long-run GDP growth and wellbeing? Our intention is to provide the new growth model (and related policy platform) which would become a true force for a better Serbia capable of overcoming persistent economic imbalances and fault policy lines and forming a foundation of a sustainable and inclusive economy, both toward the people and nature.
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