- citati u SCIndeksu: [2]
- citati u CrossRef-u:0
- citati u Google Scholaru:[
 ]
- posete u poslednjih 30 dana:0
- preuzimanja u poslednjih 30 dana:0
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kontraciklična fiskalna politika u Srbiji - istina ili fikcija?
Countercyclical fiscal policy in Serbia: Truth or fiction?
Visoka poslovna škola strukovnih studija, Novi Sad
Sažetak
Fiskalna politika u Srbiji bila je poslednjih godina, a naročito od 2006. godine prociklična. Teorijska razmatranja jasno sugerišu da se ne može postići optimalno jačanje privrednog ciklusa ekspanzijom fiskalne politike u dobrim vremenima (kada poreska osnovica raste) i restriktivnom fiskalnom politikom u lošim vremenima (kada se poreska osnovica smanjuje). Međutim da li u Srbiji kontraciklična fiskalna politika može delovati anti-recesiono? U tom kontekstu, postavljaju se pitanja o tome koliko će fiskalna politika biti efikasna u smanjivanju dubine i trajanja zastoja u Srbiji, i kakav će biti prioritetni paket mera fiskalne politike. Ovaj rad nudi okvir za usmeravanje tih pitanja.
Abstract
In recent years fiscal policy in Serbia had been pro-cyclical, particularly since 2006. Theoretical studies clearly suggest that one can not achieve optimal strengthening of the economic cycle, fiscal policy expansion in good times (when the tax base grows) and the restrictive fiscal policy in bad times (when the tax base is declining). But the issue is: can Serbian countercyclical fiscal policy act anti-recession? In this context, questions are raised on government's fiscal policy effectiveness in reducing the depth and duration of outages in Serbia, and what will be the preferred package of measures of fiscal policy. This paper provides a guiding framework for these issues.
|
|
|
|
Reference
|
|
|
*** Performance criteria, rephasing of purchases, and financing assurances review. IMF, Country Report br. 10/25
|
|
1 
|
Arsić, M. (2008) Osvrti: Svetska finansijska kriza i Srbija. Beograd: Fond za razvoj ekonomske nauke, Kvartalni monitor br. 15
|
|
1
|
Arsić, M. (2010) Elementi postkriznog modela rasta privrede Srbije. u: Letnji Vivaldi forum, Mokra Gora, jun
|
|
5 
|
Barro, R. (1979) On the determination of public debt. Journal of Political Economy, 87, str. 940-947
|
|
1
|
Fatas, A., Ilian, M. (2006) Fiscal policy and business cycles: An empirical investigation. Mimeo
|
|
|
Freedman, C., Kumhof, M., Laxton, D., Lee, J. (2009) The case for global fiscal stimulus. Washington: IMF, SPN/09/03
|
|
1
|
Ilzetzki, E., Vegh, C.A. (2008) Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing countries: Truth of Fiction?. u: Working Paper 14191, Cambridge: National Bureao for Economics Research (NBER), July
|
|
1
|
International Monetary Found (2009) Republic of Serbia: Request for stand-by arrangement-staff report. u: Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Serbia, January, IMF Country Report br. 09/20
|
|
1
|
International Monetary Found (2010) Republic of Serbia: Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement and Requests for Waiver of End-September Performance Criterion. Modification of End-December, January
|
|
1
|
International Monetary Found (2011) Republic of Serbia: Sixth Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement. u: IMF Country Report No. 11/9, January
|
|
1
|
International Monetary Fund (2008) World Economic Outlook: Financial Stress, Downturns, and Recoveries. October, Chapter 5
|
|
1
|
Kaminsky, G., Reinhart, C., Ve'gh, C. (2004) When It Rains It Pours: Procyclical Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Policies. u: Gertler Mark, Kenneth Rogof [ur.] NBER Macroeconomics Annual, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
|
|
7
|
Spilimbergo, A., Szmanskz, S., Blanchard, O., Cottarelli, I.C. (2008) Fiscal policy for the crisis. Washington: IMF, SPN/08/01, December
|
|
2
|
Talvi, E., Carlos, A. (2005) Tax Base Variability and Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries. Journal of Development Economics, 78: 156-190
|
|
|
|
|