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2020, vol. 48, br. 4, str. 63-80
Preispitivanje Okunovog zakona - empirijska analiza primenom Grejndžerovog testa uzročnosti
aSatya Wacana Christian University, Salatiga, Java, Indonesia
bChung Yuan Christian University, Taoyuan City, Taiwan

e-adresag10804610@cycu.edu.tw
Ključne reči: Okunov koeficijent; otvorena nezaposlenost; ekonomski rast; panel podaci; Grejndžerov test uzročnosti
Sažetak
Cilj ovog rada je da potvrdi postojanje Okunovih koeficijenata u Indoneziji. Autori su sproveli panel analizu podataka o 34 provincije u Indoneziji u periodu od 2014. do 2019. godine, dobijenih od strane Državnog zavoda za statistiku. Podaci su analizirani korišc'enjem panel modela analize podataka i Grejndžerovog testa uzročnosti. Rezultati Grejndžerovog testa uzročnosti pokazuju da je postojala jednosmerna uzročnost između ekonomskog rasta i nezaposlenosti. Uzrok tome je nekoliko uticajnih faktora, kao što su nivo obrazovanja, populacija i moguc'nosti zaposlenja. Na osnovu modela fiksnog efekta i rezultata Grejndžerovog testa uzročnosti, autori zaključuju da Okunov zakon nije dokazan za 34 provincije u Indoneziji.
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O članku

jezik rada: engleski
vrsta rada: izvorni naučni članak
DOI: 10.5937/industrija48-29455
primljen: 18.11.2020.
revidiran: 18.12.2020.
prihvaćen: 22.12.2020.
objavljen onlajn: 31.12.2020.
objavljen u SCIndeksu: 12.01.2021.
metod recenzije: dvostruko anoniman
Creative Commons License 4.0

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