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Recycling and Sustainable Development
2019, vol. 12, br. 1, str. 13-23
jezik rada: engleski
vrsta rada: originalan članak
objavljeno: 25/12/2019
doi: 10.5937/ror1901013J
Creative Commons License 4.0
Stres test metoda za kompanije kroz dinamiku sistema - predlog nove metodologije za upravljanje rizikom za tranziciju ka cirkularnoj ekonomiji i održivom razvoju
Jovičić Miloša, Mačuzić Ivana, Vukićević Arsoa, Demichela Micaelab
aUniverzitet u Kragujevcu, Fakultet inženjerskih nauka
bPolitehnika u Torinu, DISAT, Torino, Italija

e-adresa: mjovicic@kg.ac.rs

Sažetak

Cilj publikacije je da istraži trenutno stanje u objavljenim istraživanjima o optimalnim metodama kreiranja matematičkih modela koji simuliraju ponašanje preduzeća kao usklađene celine, sve to ka cilju analize rizika sa fokusom na stres test metodu. Stres test metoda može doprineti u procenama stabilnosti u visoko neizvesnim tranzicionim politikama, poput ostvarivanja više ekonomske cirkularnosti u kontekstu cirkularne ekonomije, kao i u analizi rizika visoko uticajnih aktivnosti u sferi održivog razvoja. Publikacija ima za cilj da istraži ovaj problem kroz matematičko modeliranje primenom dinamike sistema. Glavni cilj je sagledavanje univerzalne heuristike i teorije rizika koja se može primenjivati i u drugim oblastima. Pri predlaganju novog koncepta poput prelaska na cirkularnu ekonomiju, niz ekonomskih i drugih benefita se očekuje u dužem vremenskom periodu, međutim, ne treba zanemariti moguću pojavu kratkoročnih gubitaka. Ova publikacija istražuje inovativne pristupe na dva nivoa: u predlaganju matematičkog modela za ciljnu upotrebu metode dinamičkog modeliranja preduzeća, kao i u samom predlaganju stres test metode za koju se može reći da je zanemarena u upotrebi izvan finansijskog sektora.

Ključne reči

modeliranje preduzeća; dinamika sistema; rizik; stres test; cirkularna ekonomija

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