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Škola biznisa
2018, br. 2, str. 31-44
jezik rada: engleski
vrsta rada: izvorni naučni članak
objavljeno: 18/04/2019
doi: 10.5937/skolbiz2-20502
Creative Commons License 4.0
Kako FTA i NAFTA sporazumi utiču na usklađivanje poslovnih ciklusa između SAD i Kanade
aNovi Sad School of Business, Novi Sad
bUniverzitet Privredna akademija u Novom Sadu, Fakultet za ekonomiju i inženjerski menadžment - FIMEK

e-adresa: dejanzivkov@gmail.com

Sažetak

Ovaj rad teži da utvrdi da li su Sporazum o slobodnoj trgovini i Severnoamerički sporazum o slobodnoj trgovini pozitivno uticali na usklađivanje privrednih ciklusa između SAD i Kanade. U svrhu izračunavanja, primenjene su metodologije wavelet koherencije i fazne diferencije. Rezultati ukazuju da je usklađivanje privrednih ciklusa realizovano znatno brže posle stupanja na snagu ovih sporazuma u 80-im i 90-im godinama 20. veka. Takođe, rezultati pokazuju da je usklađivanje postignuto brže u kriznim periodima (posle dva kvartala), dok u mirnim periodima to traje nešto duže (tri kvartala). Fazna diferencija sugeriše da je američki poslovni ciklus taj koji prethodi kanadskom poslovnom ciklusu.

Ključne reči

poslovni ciklusi; FTA i NAFTA; wavelet koherencija; fazna diferencija

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