Metrika

  • citati u SCIndeksu: [1]
  • citati u CrossRef-u:[1]
  • citati u Google Scholaru:[]
  • posete u poslednjih 30 dana:4
  • preuzimanja u poslednjih 30 dana:4

Sadržaj

članak: 8 od 10  
Back povratak na rezultate
2014, vol. 16, br. 2, str. 81-96
Investiranje u pametne električne mreže i ekonomski rast u Kini - dokazivanje i prognoza na osnovu VAR modela
School of Economics and Finance of Xi 'an Jiaotong University, Xi 'an, Shaanxi, China

e-adresaqdfyx2002@stu.xjtu.edu.cn
Projekat:
'Research on the influence of a smart grid on the supply and use of energy and the energy industry structure and the development strategy' (12AZD103).

Ključne reči: investiranje u pametne električne mreže; ekonomski rast; VAR model; prognoza scenarija
Sažetak
Ovaj rad predstavlja studiju dinamičkog uticaja investiranja u pametne električne mreže na ekonomski rast, a na osnovu podataka za period: 1953-2012, primenjujući ADF test, Granger-ov test, VAR model, IRF model i VEC model. U ovom istraživanju, ostali faktori takvi kao što su investiranje u osnovna sredstva i radna snaga, uključeni su u eksplanatorne varijable. Dobijeni rezultati koriste se za prognoziranje scenarija ekonomskog rasta pri različitim projektima investiranja u pametne električne mreže. Rezultati su ukazali na to da investiranje u pametne električne mreže može ojačati ekonomski rast u kratkom roku pod uslovom da postoji odnos stabilne ravnoteže u dugom roku. Pozitivni impulsni odgovor ekonomskog rasta na investiranja u pametne električne mreže trajaće četiri godine. Doprinos investiranja u pametne električne mreže ekonomskom rastu uvećava se iz godine u godinu. Scenario-analiza ukazuje na to da je u cilju unapređenja ekonomskog rasta bolje investirati u pametne električne mreže kroz projekte S-tipa, nego kroz druge projekte.
Reference
Barro, R.J. (2007) Macroeconomics: A Modern Approach. Mason, OH: Thomson Higher Education
Bing-lian, L., Peng, W., Yu-hai, L. (2010) Transportation infrastructure and the increase in TFP in China: Spatial econometric analysis on provincial panel data. China industrial economics, 3
Chen, S., Kuo, H., Chen, C. (2007) The relationship between GDP and electricity consumption in 10 Asian countries. Energy Policy, 35(4): 2611-2621
Dong, H., Zheng, Y., Yiqun, S., Qiang, S., Yibin, Z. (2012) Dynamic assessment method for smart grid based on system dynamics. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 36, 3, 16-21
Feng-Cheng, F., Chu-Ping, V.C., Vijverberg, W.P.M. (2004) Public infrastructure as a determinant of intertemporal and interregional productive performance in China. IZA discussion paper, No. 1019, (2)
Greenwald, D. (1982) Encyclopedia of Economics. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Book Company
Jin-he, J., Yu-fang, Y. (2002) A quantitative analysis of the relations between China's economic growth and electric power development. The Journal of Quantitative and Technical Economics, 19(10); 5-10
Johansen, S. (1991) Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models. Econometrica, 59, 6, 1551-1580
Lin, Z., Lian-chen, H., Jun-xia, W. (2008) Electricity consumption and economic growth in China - Based on the 30 provincial panel data co-integration test. Journal of Shanxi Finance and Economics University, 30, 12, 18-21
Lun-wu, L. (2005) Dynamic econometrical model and analysis on promoting effect of infrastructure investment on economic growth. Jouranl of Applied Statistics and Management, 24(2)
Mad-hu, K., Rao, N.D. (2009) Supply and demand of electricity in the developing world. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 1, 567-596
Mankiw, N.G. (2006) Macroeconomics. USA: Worth Publishers Inc
Peng, Y. (2012) Economic growth electric power industry development and environmental pollution control. Comparative Economic and Social Systems, 5, 183-192
Qiang, L., Hong-chuan, W., An-gang, H. (2013) Electricity consumption and economic growth in China causality analysis based on provincial panel data. China industrial economy, 9
Rong, R., Cheng, L., Zhuoran, X., Gang, Z. (2012) Dynamic effect analysis on the relationship of transport infrastructure investment and economic development in China based on VAR model. Science and Technology Management Research, 4, 85-89
Smith, A. (2000) The Wealth of Nations. Random House Group
Xiao-yan, Q., Shi-tong, Z., Yan-yan, W. (2011) The characteristics and status of the energy industry: Based on the input - output model. On Economic Problems, 2
ZHOU, P., ANG, B., POH, K. (2006) A trigonometric grey prediction approach to forecasting electricity demand. Energy, 31(14): 2839-2847
 

O članku

jezik rada: engleski
vrsta rada: izvorni naučni članak
DOI: 10.5937/ekonhor1402085y
objavljen u SCIndeksu: 14.09.2014.

Povezani članci