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2015, vol. 63, br. 7-8, str. 337-353
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Da li najbolja preduzeća u Srbiji kreiraju vrednost?
Do the best: Performing Serbian companies create value?
Univerzitet u Beogradu, Ekonomski fakultet, Katedra za računovodstvo i poslovne finansije
Projekat: Strategijske i taktičke mere za rešavanje krize konkurentnosti realnog sektora u Srbiji (MPNTR - 179050)
Sažetak
Svi investitori očekuju ukamaćenje uloženog kapitala u skladu sa rizikom ulaganja. U pogledu stepena izloženosti riziku vlasnici se nalaze u najnepovoljnijem položaju u odnosu na sve druge interesne grupe. Budući da se prinos vlasnika vezuje za neto dobitak, kao rezidual koji preostaje nakon podmirenja interesa svih drugih stejkholdera, očigledno je da postoji rizik da oni ostanu bez prinosa u situacijama kada dobitka nema ili kada on nije dovoljan da kompenzuje prisutne rizike. U tom kontekstu, upravljanje procesom kreiranja vrednosti predstavlja ultimativni zahtev menadžmentu da stvori vrednost za sve interesne grupe, uključujući i vlasnike. Uvažavanje interesa vlasnika zahteva podizanje praga uspešnosti na nivo neto dobitka koji je dovoljan da pokrije oportunitetne troškove vlasničkog kapitala. Tek tada možemo reći da su preduzeća uspešna i da svako od njih koje stvara dobitak preko tog nivoa (pokrića ukupnih troškova kapitala) stvara dodatu vrednost. Imperativ stvaranja vrednosti ima poseban značaj u srpskoj privredi gde u proseku u celom analiziranom periodu 34,4% preduzeća iskazuje gubitke, 8,4% ima rezultat jednak nuli, dok samo 57,2% od ukupnog broja preduzeća posluje sa dobicima. U ovakvim okolnostima, postoji sklonost da se svako preduzeće koje iskazuje neto dobitak oceni kao uspešno. Međutim, pitanje koje se može opravdano postaviti je da li sva preduzeća koja iskazuju dobitke kreiraju vrednost. U ovom radu analiziramo 89 najuspešnijih preduzeća sa stanovišta visine neto dobitka. Relevantnost istraživanja određena je činjenicom da ova preduzeća ostvaruju više od 45% ukupnih neto dobitaka cele privrede u 2013. godini. U prvom delu rada prikazan je poslovno-finansijski profil srpske privrede, kako bi se stekla opšta predstava o finansijskim problemima sa kojima se suočava najveći broj preduzeća. U drugom delu rada istražene su ključne determinante profitabilnosti, kako bismo otkrili ključne pokretače vrednosti i njihov uticaj na visinu iskazane profitabilnosti. U trećem delu rada izvršena je procena uspešnosti najboljih srpskih preduzeća sa stanovišta njihove sposobnosti da stvaraju prinose za vlasnike, pri čemu smo kao kriterijum koristili rezidualni dobitak. Ovakav pristup omogućio nam je da diferenciramo preduzeća i sektore sa stanovišta njihove sposobnosti da stvaraju dodatu vrednost i da lociramo kompanije koje su odgovorne za uništavanje vrednosti.
Abstract
All investors expect to earn a return on invested capital in accordance with investment risk. With respect to the degree of exposure to risk, shareholders are in the most unfavorable position in comparison to all other stakeholders. Given that shareholders' return is closely related to net income, as it represents the residual which remains after the interests of all other stakeholders have been meet, it is obvious that there is a risk that they might not get any return in situations where there is no income or it is not sufficient to compensate for the existing risks. In this context, from the perspective of value creation management the ultimate responsibility of a company's management is to create value for all stakeholders, including shareholders. With the aim of satisfying the interests of shareholders it is necessary to raise the performance threshold to the level of net income that would be sufficient to cover the opportunity costs of equity. Only then can we say that companies are really profitable and that each of them whose income exceeds this level (at which the total costs of capital are covered) creates value added. The value creation imperative is of particular importance in the Serbian economy, considering that over the entire analyzed period, on average, 34.4% of companies reported losses, 8.4% of companies had income that was equal to zero, while only 57.2% of the total number of companies reported net income. In such circumstances, there is a tendency for every company that reports net income to be labeled as profitable. However, it makes perfect sense to raise the question as to whether all the companies which report net income create value. In this paper we analyze the 89 most profitable companies in terms of the amount of net income. The relevance of the research arises from the fact that these companies generated more than 45% of total net income of the economy in 2013. In the first part of the paper we present the business and financial profile of the Serbian economy in order to provide a general understanding of the financial problems faced by most companies. In the second part we explore the key determinants of profitability with a view to identifying the key value drivers and their impact on the level of profitability. In the third part of the paper the performance of the best Serbian companies is assessed from the standpoint of their ability to create returns to shareholders by applying residual income as the main criterion. Such an approach has enabled us to differentiate companies and sectors in terms of their capacity to create value added as well as to detect the companies that are responsible for the destruction of value.
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