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2021, vol. 50, br. 2, str. 8-20
Sinhronizacija poslovnog ciklusa i monetarna politika u Bosni i Hercegovini
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Ključne reči: poslovni ciklus; sinhronizacija poslovnog ciklusa; monetarna politika; valutni odbor; bankarstvo; Bosna i Hercegovina; Hodrik-Preskotov filter; analiza jaza
Sažetak
Usvajanjem valutnog odbora krajem prošlog vijeka i vezivanjem svog kursa za evro, prije četvrt stoljeća, Bosna i Hercegovina je predala veliki dio svoje monetarne politike u ruke Evropske centralne banke u nadi da će sinhronizacija poslovnog ciklusa, učiniti stranu monetarnu politiku potpuno pogodnom za Bosnu i Hercegovinu. Istovremeno, tokom ove dvije decenije, Centralna banka Bosne i Hercegovine razvija i koristi obaveznu rezervu i naknadu kao diskrecione instrumente monetarne politike. Istraživanje pokazuje da su domaći i inostrani poslovni ciklus slabo sinhronizovani u odnosu na stepen sinhronizacije drugih zemalja, a ovim nalazima u potpunosti je opravdana trenutna diskreciona monetarna politika i njen dalji razvoj i obogaćivanje novim instrumentima. Bosna i Hercegovina mora nastaviti s razvojem vlastite diskrecione monetarne politike bez oslanjanja na spoljnu monetarnu politiku.
Reference
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O članku

jezik rada: srpski, engleski
vrsta rada: izvorni naučni članak
DOI: 10.5937/bankarstvo2102008J
primljen: 27.05.2021.
prihvaćen: 06.06.2021.
objavljen u SCIndeksu: 25.09.2021.
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