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2010, br. 3, str. 1-14
Kontraciklična fiskalna politika u Srbiji - istina ili fikcija?
Visoka poslovna škola strukovnih studija, Novi Sad
Sažetak
Fiskalna politika u Srbiji bila je poslednjih godina, a naročito od 2006. godine prociklična. Teorijska razmatranja jasno sugerišu da se ne može postići optimalno jačanje privrednog ciklusa ekspanzijom fiskalne politike u dobrim vremenima (kada poreska osnovica raste) i restriktivnom fiskalnom politikom u lošim vremenima (kada se poreska osnovica smanjuje). Međutim da li u Srbiji kontraciklična fiskalna politika može delovati anti-recesiono? U tom kontekstu, postavljaju se pitanja o tome koliko će fiskalna politika biti efikasna u smanjivanju dubine i trajanja zastoja u Srbiji, i kakav će biti prioritetni paket mera fiskalne politike. Ovaj rad nudi okvir za usmeravanje tih pitanja.
Reference
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Arsić, M. (2008) Osvrti: Svetska finansijska kriza i Srbija. Beograd: Fond za razvoj ekonomske nauke, Kvartalni monitor br. 15
Arsić, M. (2010) Elementi postkriznog modela rasta privrede Srbije. u: Letnji Vivaldi forum, Mokra Gora, jun
Barro, R. (1979) On the determination of public debt. Journal of Political Economy, 87, str. 940-947
Fatas, A., Ilian, M. (2006) Fiscal policy and business cycles: An empirical investigation. Mimeo
Freedman, C., Kumhof, M., Laxton, D., Lee, J. (2009) The case for global fiscal stimulus. Washington: IMF, SPN/09/03
Ilzetzki, E., Vegh, C.A. (2008) Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing countries: Truth of Fiction?. u: Working Paper 14191, Cambridge: National Bureao for Economics Research (NBER), July
International Monetary Found (2009) Republic of Serbia: Request for stand-by arrangement-staff report. u: Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Serbia, January, IMF Country Report br. 09/20
International Monetary Found (2010) Republic of Serbia: Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement and Requests for Waiver of End-September Performance Criterion. Modification of End-December, January
International Monetary Found (2011) Republic of Serbia: Sixth Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement. u: IMF Country Report No. 11/9, January
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Talvi, E., Carlos, A. (2005) Tax Base Variability and Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries. Journal of Development Economics, 78: 156-190
 

O članku

jezik rada: srpski
vrsta rada: izvorni naučni članak
objavljen u SCIndeksu: 05.04.2011.