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2018, iss. 1, pp. 105-121
The significance and application of scenario modelling as the means of planning in education
University of Belgrade, Faculty of Economy

emailvuksanovic@ekof.bg.ac.rs
Project:
Role of State in New Growth Model of Serbian Economy (MESTD - 179065)

Abstract
Almost all countries' educational systems are to a significant degree shaped by an increased uncertainty and complexity, with an ever-growing number of participants. Nevertheless, in most cases, education is still determined by short-term decisions made by policymakers. Neglecting the longer term can be problematic due to the educational systems' inability to respond to swift and dramatic changes which are likely to be even more prominent in the future. With regard to this, using scenario modelling in the field of education can contribute to adopting and adapting to the ongoing changes. The topic of this paper is the scenario methodology per se and its application to the field of education. This analytical approach can be of use to educational policymakers, bearing in mind the uncertainty and complexity of the systems in which education works, and the continuing need for conducting educational reforms. The primary goal of this paper is to point to the development and the significance of this methodology as a means of planning, and the potential of its application to the field of education.
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About

article language: Serbian
document type: Review Paper
DOI: 10.5937/ANDSTUD1801105V
published in SCIndeks: 25/10/2018

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