2015, vol. 17, iss. 3, pp. 27-55
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Growth potential and analysis of the competitiveness of Serbian economy
Potencijali rasta i analiza konkurentnosti privrede Srbije
University of Priština - Kosovska Mitrovica, Faculty of Economy
Abstract
Placement, role, as well as functioning and development of national economies in a globalized world's economy, greatly depends on the interactive connections and relations established with the rest of the world. Influenced by the progressive impact of globalization, all countries need to adjust their economies' systems towards the newly established circumstances in order to bear with the new challenges and enable best possible placement in the world's market arena. Serbia's economy structure based on the ''Yugoslav unique single market'', or '' Mini European Union'' is not adequate for the constricted economies' ambient which is present nowadays. Therefore, Serbia is implicitly addressed towards solving its structural imbalances by integrating into world's economic trends. In order to overcome structural imbalances, economic structure needs to alter in a certain way towards the demands of the world's market. Adapting to the international division of labor trends requires an offensive strategy of economic development, traced towards specific and prioritized goals with the aim of strengthening economies' competitiveness in the world market. With that regard, it is essential to provide stabile growth of funds derived from export, as well as accumulative growth based on this income, in order to ensure economic growth. This task requires increased competitiveness of Serbia's economy as a whole, which will enable potential solutions for the increased external debt, and provide accumulative potential for economic growth. Involvement of our economy in the global trends is limited nowadays by the lack of domestic accumulation. Furthermore, the extent of income based on foreign accumulation is consequently limited by the immense foreign debt. An improved competitive placement can be achieved only by investing in science and technology. The subjective factor personalized in the high educational potential enables us to execute biofusion and technology transfer.
Sažetak
Mesto, uloga kao i funkcionisanje i razvoj nacionalnih ekonomija u globalizovanoj svetskoj privredi, u velikoj meri zavisi od interaktivnih veza i odnosa koje one uspostavljaju sa ostatkom sveta. Pod udarom talasa globalizacije sve zemlje moraju svoje privredne sisteme da prilagode novonastalim okolnostima, kako bi mogle da se nose sa novim izazovima i ostvare što bolju poziciju u svetskoj tržišnoj areni. Privredna struktura Srbije, izgrađivana u okviru 'jedinstvenog jugoslovenskog tržišta', odnosno ' EU u malom' danas je neadekvatna za novi suženi privredni ambijent. Time je Srbija i implicitno upućena da nastale strukturne debalanse rešava integracijom u svetske privredne tokove. U cilju prenebregavanja strukturnih debalansa privredna struktura se mora menjati u određenim pravcima, koje danas trasiraju zahtevi svetskog tržišta. Adaptacija i uključivanje u tokove međunarodne podele rada, neminovno nameće ofanzivnu strategiju privrednog razvoja, usmerenu na određene na usko prioritetne pravce u cilju jačanja konkuretnosti privrede. U tom procesu od presudne važnosti će biti da se obezbedi stabilan rast izvoznih prihoda i na njemu zasnovan rast akumulativnosti, kao preduslov privrednog rasta. Ovaj zadatak kao neminovnost nameće podizanje konkurentnosti srpske privrede u celini, a u prvoj fazi podizanje konkurentnosti izvozno orjentisanih sektora srpske privrede, čime ćemo stvoriti pretpostavke za otplatu naraslog spoljnjeg duga, i stvoriti akumulativni potencijal za ekonomski razvoj. Uključivanje naše privrede u globalne procese danas je limitirano nedostatkom domaće akumulacije, ali je i obim priliva strane akumulacije ograničen prevelikim nivoom spoljnjeg duga. Bolja konkurentska pozicija se može dostići jedino ulaganjima u nauku i tehnologiju. Subjektivni faktor oličen u visoko obrazovanom potencijalu nam još i dalje omogućava da vršimo difuziju i transfer tehnologije.
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