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2022, vol. 68, br. 1, str. 1-14
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Razvojni trendovi tekstilne industrije Republike Srbije u lavirintima neoliberalnog modela rasta
Development trends of the Textile industry of the Republic of Serbia in labyrinths neoliberal growth model
Sažetak
Tekstilna industrija Republike Srbije, u dugom vremenskom periodu, bila je jedan od ključnih pokretača privrednog rasta, oslonac izvoza, demografskih promena i nosilaca socijalne politike. Međutim, u periodu od 2000. do 2008. godine, to jest, u periodu primene neoliberalnog modela rasta, ona je, od strane kreatora ekonomske politike, tretirana kao relikt prošlosti i socijalističkog modela rasta i, u kontinuitetu, beležila je negativne proizvodne rezultate. U skladu sa navedenim, osnovni cilj istraživanja u ovom radu je da se analizom ključnih makroekonomskih pokazatelja sagledaju razvojni trendovi ove industrijske grane u navedenom periodu. U analizi je korišćen metod indukcije, dok su pri analizi konkurentnosti tekstilne industrije Republike Srbije korišćeni sledeći indikatori i to: market share analysis i RCA indeks (revealed competative advantage index). Rezultati istraživanja jasno ukazuju na pogubne posledice primene: prvo, šok terapije u liberalizaciji trgovinskih tokova, drugo, pogrešnog modela privatizacije i treće, neadekvatnih mera ekonomske politike, ali i na činjenicu da je tekstilna industrija, u posmatranom periodu, zadržala značajano učešće u izvozu Republike Srbije.
Abstract
The textile industry of the Republic of Serbia, for a long time, has been one of the key drivers of economic growth, the mainstay of exports, demographic change and the bearers of social policy. However, in the period from 2000 to 2008, that is, in the period of application of the neoliberal model of growth, it was treated by the creators of economic policy as a relic of the past and the socialist model of growth and continuously recorded negative production results. In accordance with the above, the main goal of the research in this paper is to analyze the key macroeconomic indicators to consider the development trends of this industry in this period. The analysis used the method of induction, while the analysis of competitiveness of the textile industry of Serbia used the following indicators: market share analysis and RCA index (revealed competitive advantage index). The results of the research clearly indicate the disastrous consequences of the application: first, shock therapy in the liberalization of trade flows, second, the wrong model of privatization and third, inadequate economic policy measures, but also the fact that the textile industry has maintained a significant share in exports Republic of Serbia.
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