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2008, vol. 42, br. 1-2, str. 29-44
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Značaj inostranih investicija za privrednu stabilnost Srbije
The importance foreign direct investments for the economic stability of Serbian economy
Univerzitet u Novom Sadu, Pravni fakultet, Srbija
Sažetak
Svetska privreda je ušla u period ozbiljne recesije koja je otpočela sa krizom tržišta nekretnina u SAD. Kriza likvidnosti će poskupeti kredite, i u narednoj godini smanjiti obim investicija u svetu. Srbija poslednjih godina ima vrlo visok deficit spoljnotrgovinskog bilansa. Visok deficit spoljnotrgovinskog bilansa je pokrivan deviznim doznakama naših radnika iz inostranstva i stranim investicijama. To je jedan od pokazatelja važnosti starih investicija za privrednu stabilnost Srbije. Da bi se podstakle strane investicije, pokazalo je iskustvo zemalja u tranziciji potrebna je i odgovarajuća industrijska politika. U radu se predlažu i oblasti koje je industrijskom politikom potrebno posebno podsticati. U uslovima krize potrebno je učiniti sve da se privuku strane investicije, naročito Greenfield, i to pre svega u izvozno orijentisane i tehnološki intenzivne grane.
Abstract
World economy stepping down in the liquidity crises causes through the real estate sector problems, particularly in the USA. The scarcity of the investments is one of the consequences. For Serbia diminishing of current account deficit is prerequisite for the regular repayment of external debt. It is necessary to attract the bigger amount of foreign direct investment once when the process of privatization would be finished. Motivation for investing in Serbia has to be intensified by the creation of attractive and stimulating ambience. Until now, FDI was mostly directed to purchase of Serbian companies. Bigger inflow of FDI as well as structural changes of real economy sector in Serbia could result with the stronger export growth and decreasing of trade deficit in the next years. Economic and institutional factors should be directed to create a framework which is important for FDI inflow. Every measure contributing to reduce dollarization and strengthen the local currency and trust in the domestic financial system is a step in the right direction.
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Reference
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